Will return to neutral between March and May 2023. Accordingly, it is likely that El Niño will begin in the fall of 2023 or the winter of 2024. Possible consequences of El Niño Given ENSO's impact on global precipitation and temperature patterns, scientists are keeping a close eye on the tropical Pacific. According to their calculations, El Niño in the coming years can lead to four consequences. Global temperature could rise by 0.2°C During El Niño, the ocean transfers some of the excess heat and moisture to the atmosphere. This can be compared to boiling pasta when the kitchen gets hot. In addition to climate change, El Niño could add up to 0.2°C to Earth's average temperature. For example.
I hottest year in history was 2016, El Niño - the temperature of the ocean Russia WhatsApp Number List surface increased by close to a record 2.4 ° C. The overall temperature on the planet has already risen by about 1.2°C compared to pre-industrial levels. Due to the fact that El Niño will add additional heat to the atmosphere, it is possible that the increase in temperature on Earth will temporarily exceed the threshold of 1.5 ° C, which is set by the Paris Agreement as restrictive. Australia is getting hotter Australia has had more rainfall for three years now due to the length of the La Niña. The phenomenon led to severe flooding, especially in the east of the country.
During El Niño, scientists expect the opposite effect: less rain, higher temperatures, and an increased risk of fires, especially in winter and spring. As the Earth warms, some regions are getting hotter than others. A good example is again Australia, where it is now 1.4 ° C hotter than at the beginning of the 20th century. Every year the area scorched by forest fires increases. This is affected by droughts, which will become more frequent due to El Niño. Tropical forests will be less able to sequester carbon South.